Financial Strategy

Profitable on paper, short of cash in the bank

“We are profitable, but cash is always tight.”What owners tell us

The situation

Signs you are facing this

  • The profit and loss shows a profit, yet salaries and VAT dates cause stress
  • Customers pay late while suppliers want paying on time
  • Overdraft use climbs even in good months
  • Stock builds up faster than sales
Exhibit 1What is driving it

The situation

Profitable on paper, short of cash in the bank

  • Driver 1

    Money stuck in receivables

    Sales are booked as profit long before customers pay.

  • Driver 2

    Money stuck in stock

    Buying ahead ties up cash that the business needs for running costs.

  • Driver 3

    No forward view

    Without a 13-week forecast, shortfalls are found when they arrive.

Exhibit 2How we work through it
  1. 1

    Diagnose

    Map the cash cycle

    Measure days to collect, days to pay and days of stock.

  2. 2

    Design

    Build a rolling forecast

    Week-by-week cash view, updated from actual bank data.

  3. 3

    Embed

    Release working capital

    Credit terms, collection routine and stock levels set to match.

Exhibit 3What you receive
  • A rolling 13-week cash forecast
  • Cash cycle map: debtor, creditor and stock days
  • Working capital release plan
  • Weekly cash dashboard

Try it on your numbers

See how growth absorbs your profit.

Change the working-capital days and the growth rate to see the gap between profit and cash.
Adjust the business
30%
90 days

How long customers take to pay

120 days

How long stock sits before it is sold

30 days

How long you take to pay suppliers

Fixed here: NPR 10 crore sales, 22% gross margin, 6% net margin. Change every input in the full calculator.

From profit to cash

This year, NPR

  • Net profit for the year+NPR 60.0 lakh
  • Less: more owed by customers−NPR 56.9 lakh
  • Less: more stock on hand−NPR 59.2 lakh
  • Add: more credit from suppliers+NPR 14.8 lakh
  • Cash from operations−NPR 41.3 lakh
Cash conversion cycle
180 days
Cash tied up in working capital
4.39 crore
Growth profit can fund
16% a year

The business makes NPR 60.0 lakh of profit, but growth absorbs NPR 1.01 crore into customer balances and stock. Cash from operations is −NPR 41.3 lakh: the profit is real, the cash is not there.

At these settings, profit alone can fund about 16% growth a year. Faster than that, the difference has to be borrowed or invested.

Illustrative. Assumes balances move in line with sales and that profit is kept in the business. Leaves out tax timing, depreciation, capital spending and loan repayments, which a real cash forecast includes.

Start this week

  • Map customer-level debtor days weekly
  • Review supplier payment cycles against collection lag
  • Eliminate dead stock tied up in godowns
  • Establish rolling 13-week cash projections

Common questions

Why is my business profitable but has no cash?

Profit is recorded when you invoice, cash arrives when the customer pays. Growth, slow collections, heavy stock and loan repayments all widen that gap.

What is a cash-flow forecast?

A week-by-week or month-by-month projection of money coming in and going out, so you can see a shortfall before it happens and act early.

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